Research

Massively Multiplayer Online Gaming

March - 2012

Currently valued at $5 billion and expected to double in the next four years alone, the Massively Multiplayer Online (MMO) space is currently one of the hottest segments within the global games industry. In light of this, GP Bullhound recently held an MMO gaming roundtable bring together the leading players and thought leaders in the MMO sector. Our participants came from the US, Europe and Asia, from companies of different stages, developing games for varied platforms and audiences. Over dinner, we discussed the key issues affecting the MMO industry today.

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Social Travel - The Human Touch

February - 2012

Social travel is on the rise again and finally about to take the place it deserves in the social sphere. New and exciting models offer full integration into the main social network platforms, ease of review / advice upload from geo-localised smartphones, and easier monetisation. As with all disruptive business models, initial challenges must be overcome. For social travel, these are establishing reputation and trust. Companies that want to embrace the social element must first tackle the inherent concerns that individuals have when the social internet and offline worlds combine. Now that social networks have evolved and entered the mainstream, social travel start-ups can prosper. Renewed interest is illustrated by Google and TripAdvisor’s increasingly serious foray into the sector, meaning this is a space to keep an eye on. This report presents the main reasons behind social travel’s coming of age, and analyses some of the more interesting models and companies.

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Social Travel - The Human Touch

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Technology Predictions 2012

January - 2012

Looking forward to the year ahead, we anticipate that 2012 will bring macroeconomic challenges to the technology sector, driving increased competition as the sector continues to flatten. Our trends this year focus on companies who bring truly differentiated offerings to market and who will be rewarded by the potential for long term margin defensibility. In this report we will take a look at our 2011 predictions and identify and analyse our top trends for the upcoming year.

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eBook - Let's go Clubbing

November - 2011

Like the music industry of ten years ago, the publishing industry is going through a period of unrivalled change. The market for digital books is finally taking off as the consumer electronics industry delivers electronic readers with long battery life, storage capacity and colour screens. The impact of the Kindle in the US books market has been significant and we are now seeing the effects in Europe – latest price for a Kindle is £89.Since our last report on eBooks, we are seeing software and new media business models emerge to replace the hardware businesses of 18 months ago, many of which have succumbed to competition from Kindle, Apple and Asian manufacturers. This report looks at eBook lending, self-publishing and recommendation trends as well as a whistlestop tour around the other early stage businesses operating in the eBook sector.

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eBook - Let's go Clubbing

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Innovation in the Water Sector

November - 2011

The Water Sector is characterised as one of the largest Cleantech sectors but to date has only received a paltry share of VC investment. GP Bullhound expects this to change as the sector begins to accept new technologies that address its challenges such as increased regulation on water quality, rising operating costs due to high energy requirements, ageing infrastructure looking for upgrades, and the need for new builds in developing economies. New technologies focusing on smart water, nutrient removal, cost effective desalination and energy recovery through waste treatment (to name a few) are gaining both commercial and investor attention. Innovators are confronting the challenges of entering the Water Sector such as its capital intensity, its embedded reluctance to adopt new technologies and its natural conservatism. This lays the ground for an exciting time of change and increased activity in the Water Sector for innovators, operators and investors over the next several years.

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Mobile Games Revisited - Level 2 Unlocked!

October - 2011

Although mobile games have been around for years, the launch of the iPhone, tablets and other smartphones has revived the entire sector. New devices, better functionality and more compelling gameplay are the key drivers of today’s mobile games market. App stores have led to the disintermediation of telco operators from the value chain and bolstered the emergence of a new generation of mobile gaming companies. While casual gaming remains the dominant genre on portable platforms, mobile games are increasingly becoming more social as freemium and in-app purchase revenue models have gained momentum over traditional pay-per-download economics.

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Mobile Games Revisited - Level 2 Unlocked!

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Tech Market Update 2011

October - 2011

Against a backdrop of market turmoil and the European Central Bank being forced to announce renewed measures to boost liquidity in the battered banking system, the Technology Sector has demonstrated surprising resilience.While most stock market indices are down year-on-year after August 2011, the Nasdaq has been one of the few indices to close in positive territory over the last 12 months. There has also been stellar performance from the much maligned IPO of LinkedIn, with its share price trading 76.9% above the offer price. Cross sector M&A volumes in Q3 2011 were 53% down on Q3 2010 volumes, however the Technology sector has weathered the storm with YTD private transaction volumes of $7,326m in 2011 versus full year transaction volumes of $7,220bn in 2010.The build-up of cash reserves on the balance sheet of the Technology giants is at an all-time high and this combined with the fast moving landscapes within digital media, enterprise software and cleantech is fuelling strong acquisition activity.The much predicted shift in power from the US to Asia has not transferred to M&A activity in the Technology sector with Asian acquirers of European TMT companies accounting for a meagre 1% of transactions in 2011 versus 18% for US acquirers.Based on previous technology cycles of shareholder value creation and IPO activity (PC and Mainframe Cycle), the Internet sector is still in the early stages with considerable shareholder value to be created over the next 10 years.

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Tech Market Update 2011

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Mobile Payments - It's Payback Time!

July - 2011

With over 5 billion people with mobile phones globally (vs. only 2 billion who have credit cards), mobile payments is poised to eclipse all traditional forms of payment. While this technology has been around for nearly a decade, it is only until recently that mobile payments has emerged as the ‘next killer app’. The rise of social networks in the western world, followed by their flooding of online, social and casual games has created a large and growing opportunity in the mobile payments space. Furthermore, the proliferation of mobiles across the emerging world has also led to the uptake of peer-to-peer mobile payments services. These markets are skipping a payment generation and aligning themselves with the Western world. With banks, telcos, credit card network vendors and mobile payments specialists battling for market share – will mobile payments become a commodity prematurely?

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Mobile Payments - It's Payback Time!

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Russian Internet - No Longer Terra Incognita?

May - 2011

Russia is rapidly emerging as Europe’s largest Internet audience, projected to reach 90m users by 2013, and the fastest growing top five advertising and e-commerce market in Europe. In many ways unique and diverse, Russia also has the most engaged social networking audience in the world. While many international businesses and investors missed Russian Web 1.0, the new development of Russian Internet, on the back of the rise of Social Media, is becoming impossible to ignore. In exploring ways to harness this exciting but complex opportunity, many have imported business models from the West, but will the idiosyncratic Russian market generate true home-grown business innovations – ones that Western firms could adopt?

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Russian Internet - No Longer Terra Incognita?

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Deal or No Deal?: The Rapidly Growing Social Commerce and Daily Deals Market

April - 2011

The social commerce industry has exhibited viral growth in the last year and is expected to continue its trajectory, growing to $30 billion by 2015. The industry’s daily deals segment is expected to grow similarly, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 46% for the next three years. In affirmation, headline fundraises and rejected takeover offers from Internet giants and financial investors have continued to entice new daily deals entrants in droves. With thousands of daily deals providers worldwide, we expect continued consolidation from market leaders and those looking to enter the sector. Differentiation will be key for sustained profitability and longevity. GP Bullhound’s latest sector research report explores the past, present, and future of the social commerce landscape and daily deals sector.

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Deal or No Deal?: The Rapidly Growing Social Commerce and Daily Deals Market

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Technology Predictions 2011

January - 2011

For the fourth year running, GP Bullhound is publishing its 10 Technology Predictions for the upcoming year: - Google’s Android distancing Apple’s iOS - Mobile payments set to surge in 2011 – get ready for the race - Social shopping, dating and gambling will thrive on mobile - Augmented reality applications take-off, driven by a location based services footprint - Mobile and smart grid applications open the digital home - Privacy becomes a top priority for social network users - Thin film makes a comeback and VCs start to exit to Strategics in droves - Short messaging format will gain wider support and momentum - Gaming moves into the cloud - A new generation of business intelligence and data analytics consumer apps will emerge.

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Technology Predictions 2011

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No Holds Barred in the Digital Music Battleground

December - 2010

There are now around 12 million songs available from over 400 legal music services globally – a fundamental shift from the days of illegal music consumption through pirate services. The industry is transforming, and new and innovative business models are appearing, some with the backing of the labels, who ultimately look to find a legitimate way to sell their music digitally to the end user. Music is increasingly being fed into our lives through an array of digital channels. But how do we really want to consume this media going forward? More importantly, what model makes the most sense? GP Bullhound’s latest sector research report explores the online music landscape highlighting the key current trends. A research breakfast will be arranged in London in January to discuss the space further where a number of CEO’s will be invited to present.

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No Holds Barred in the Digital Music Battleground

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Behavioral Retargeting

November - 2010

US online advertisers are predicted to spend $1.1 billion on behavioral targeting advertising in 2010, a number that is forecast to grow to $2.6 billion by 2014. Behavioral retargeting is becoming an important tool to improve conversation rates and profits for online retailers by lowering the cost of acquiring new customers. Behavioral advertising already accounts for about 5% of all online advertising spending in the US, and for 14% in display advertisement. In the wake of the rise of behavioral retargeting, Real Time Bidding (RTB) has become a major force. Barely in existence 20 months ago the volume of ad space filled by RTB has grown to 100 billion, accounting for 20-30% of US online advertising value. GP Bullhound’s latest sector research report explores how this new online advertising phenomena is rapidly gaining traction, shaking up the traditional advertising ecosystem and enabling significant new revenue streams to publishers and advertisers alike.

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Behavioral Retargeting

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Is Thin Film Staging a Comeback?

November - 2010

With the exception of First Solar, the thin film sector has failed to live up to its promise despite heavy investment and much fanfare. We may however finally see a turn of fortunes in this sector with some companies beginning meaningful commercialization. Success will depend mostly on individual companies’ ability to reduce costs, maintain access to capital and define and develop markets. With more than 150 firms in thin film, we predict massive consolidation driven by the entry of industrial players with their capital and manufacturing might. We also think VCs will need to realign their expectations as returns are likely to disappoint. GP Bullhound’s latest sector research report explores future perspectives for the three main thin film technologies: Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Copper Indium Gallium Selenide (CIGS) and Amorphous Silicon (a-Si).

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Is Thin Film Staging a Comeback?

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The Era of The Touch Interface is Upon us

October - 2010

Touch screens are experiencing a boom as they are being used in ever larger numbers of applications. This is, however, only the beginning. With the expected strong growth of touch screen enabled consumer electronic devices such as e-readers, tablet computers and smartphones the proliferation of touch screen user interfaces will grow. On the back of this growth touch screen user interfaces will spread to a wider variety of devices and become entrenched as an intuitive user interface. Our research details some of the key features of the industry, the various touch screen technologies and looks at the main areas of touch screen user interface growth.

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The Era of The Touch Interface is Upon us

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The Social Media Explosion: Monetising the New Word of Mouth

August - 2010

Social Media has exploded over the past few years, having grown from nothing into a multi-billion dollar industry with no signs of slowing down. As companies come to realise the benefits of social media as a way to connect with customers, new start-ups are endeavouring to find ways of monetising the sector. Our research details some of the key features of the industry, the emerging players and trends and the possibility of a brand new market in privacy and reputational management.

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The Social Media Explosion: Monetising the New Word of Mouth

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Augmented Reality: A Glimpse Beyond Reality

August - 2010

Until recently, mobile augmented reality application development has been hindered by handset-side limitations. Our research indicates that improvements in mobile hardware infrastructure will enable strong near term growth in the mobile augmented reality sector, particularly for games applications. This report provides an introduction into the sector, analyzes current trends and highlights a number of notable start-up companies.

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Augmented Reality: A Glimpse Beyond Reality

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Supply Side Smart Grid Solutions Best Placed to Drive Economic Benefits Near to Mid-term

June - 2010

Smart meters and other demand side smart grid technologies have largely disappointed as consumers have proven inflexible in changing their consumption behaviour and adopting such new intelligent solutions. Our recent study of the smart grid sector suggests that supply side solutions, i.e. technologies that can help the energy producers and deliverers, have more value to offer in the short to mid terms. This report provides an insight into recent trends in the sector and highlights a number of start-up companies that are making good progress.

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Supply Side Smart Grid Solutions Best Placed to Drive Economic Benefits Near to Mid-term

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Wisdom From the Sage of Omaha

May - 2010

While Technology has always been anathema to the investment philosophy of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger at Berkshire Hathaway, venture and technology investors alike can learn a lot from these investment rockstars. With that in mind, GP Bullhound attended this year’s Berkshire Annual meeting in Omaha to listen to the sage speak. The attached report summarizes some of the key snippets and quotes from our notes made on the day and contains some valuable lessons covering the topics of investing, life, business and the broader economic environment.

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Wisdom From the Sage of Omaha

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Electric Vehicles and Batteries – Charging Ahead

April - 2010

Electric vehicles have been around before, at the turn of the last century and again during the 1990s. We are now beginning to witness a concerted effort on the part of governments, automotive and battery manufacturers to build a viable electric vehicle industry. Most of the major automotive manufactures have announced launches of electrically propelled vehicles recently including Renault-Nissan, GM, Toyota, Daimler, BMW and even Ferrari is launching a hybrid. Transportation accounts for 50% of oil demand today. It also accounts for 20% of global carbon emissions with the IEA anticipating this to double to 40% by 2050. There are several competing battery chemistries vying for the top spot in the electric vehicle landscape and lithium-ion is fast emerging as the long term winner. Its lightweight nature, higher energy and power density translate into smaller and lighter battery packs ideally suited to cars.

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Electric Vehicles and Batteries – Charging Ahead

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Social Games: The Fastest Growing Segment of the Games Market

March - 2010

Within the last year, social games have exhibited explosive growth, cementing their place as an important and rapidly-growing sector within the $50B global games market. We estimate the global social gaming market to grow from $1 billion in 2009 to just over $3 billion in 2012, representing a CAGR of 45% over that time period. Given the relatively nascent stage of the social games sector, we expect significant improvements in game play and functionality as developers gain more experience on social media platforms and social game development budgets expand. We also expect to see a continuing flow of investment dollars into the sector as well as additional consolidation as the larger players look to cement their leadership positions and new entrants look to gain market share through acquisition. This report explores the current trends, key risks and the future outlook for the social games sector.

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Social Games: The Fastest Growing Segment of the Games Market

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Don't Judge an eBook by its Cover

February - 2010

The eBook market has seen a lot of activity in recent months, and in particular around the negotiations on eBook pricing between retailers (Amazon) and publishers (Macmillan). The digital books market finally has the potential to become mass market and the outlook for 2010 looks promising with the rapid growth of connected eReaders as well as eBook stores. In this report we will take a look at the key trends in the industry with competition increasing amongst the players. The convergence between device, content production and distribution is creating opportunities as well as challenges analogous to the ones experienced by the music industry.

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Don't Judge an eBook by its Cover

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Gaming trends – December 2009

December - 2009

The gaming landscape is going through a period of dramatic change, with online and social gaming rapidly growing. New economic models are emerging while the traditional boxed product value chain is feeling immense pain. In development, bloated studio projects are being challenged by rapidly launched, ever-evolving, user-feedback created, multi-platform game environments. Electronic Arts recent acquisition of Playfish shows that great value can be created by those who adapt to this new environment.

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Gaming trends – December 2009

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Status of Project Financing to the Solar Industry

December - 2009

Over the last year, solar developers have been hit hard by new challenges, including the reduction in lending activity, the higher cost of debt and equity, falling cost of oil and gas, a dwindling price for carbon, and the growing capital intensity of solar projects. Debt investors now require higher levels of equity financing and higher returns for assuming the same levels of risk than one year ago. Now, more than ever, it is critical for companies to prove themselves, and their technologies, as bankable. This report examines the current state of the solar project financing market including data on recent project financing activity across geographies

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Status of Project Financing to the Solar Industry

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European SaaS – an environment ripe for investment

November - 2009

Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) is one of the most important trends in software at present, and has become pervasive over the last few years. We believe that SaaS is now entering its second phase – SaaS 2.0 – in which SaaS vendors will start providing integrated solutions to Enterprise customers and improve platform functionality and capabilities to take on more business critical and strategic operations. We expect SaaS 2.0 to expand the total addressable market for enterprise application software, with growth in SaaS outpacing growth of the overall software market as it continues to gain market share.

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European SaaS – an environment ripe for investment

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Mobile Sector Bucking the M&A Trend

October - 2009

2009 has seen a major turnaround in M&A activity in the mobile sector with YTD transaction value reaching $603m vs. $340m in 2008 – an increase of 77%. With the emergence of higher speed networks, OS based smartphones, and the convergence of mobile phones and computers, the mobile infrastructure and ecosystem are in place for the industry to enter a new level of monetisation. As the industry is experiencing rapid change, particularly through the entrance of new competitors like Apple and Google, we are seeing a number of acquisition strategies emerge. It is our belief that over the next two years the number of acquisitions as well as their value will increase. GP Bullhound acted as the exclusive advisor to Player X in their sale to ZED earlier this year. You are receiving this message because you are registered as a contact of GP Bullhound. If you feel that you have received this message in error, or if you would not like to receive future communications and newsletters, please reply to this email with REMOVE in the subject line. GP Bullhound is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority GP Bullhound acted as the exclusive advisor to Player X in their sale to ZED earlier this year. You are receiving this message because you are registered as a contact of GP Bullhound. If you feel that you have received this message in error, or if you would not like to receive future communications and newsletters, please reply to this email with REMOVE in the subject line. GP Bullhound is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority

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Mobile Sector Bucking the M&A Trend

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HOW REAL CAN WE MAKE GAMES AND VIRTUAL WORLDS?

July - 2009

We are spending more and more time in front of screens consuming more and more digital entertainment. In fact each year approximately 16 billion square meters of screens is added to the market. This is the equivalent of over two A4-sized screens for every person on Earth. And we are hungry for more. Broadband internet access is approaching 100% penetration in developed economies and wireless broadband usage is growing fast in the developing world. This has allowed for ever more realistic entertainment to be delivered to a screen near you – from computer games and animated films to virtual worlds and mobile communities. The consumer is pushing the boundaries of what can be delivered using current business models and existing software and hardware.

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HOW REAL CAN WE MAKE GAMES AND VIRTUAL WORLDS?

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HOW REAL IS THE VISION OF A “SMART GRID”?

June - 2009

The "Smart Grid" is often described as the "Internet for Electricity" in which will modernize our aging electricity distribution grids with the goals of reducing excess energy and incorporating renewable energy sources. Numerous factors are forcing the outdated energy distribution grids around the world to become ‘smarter’, from rising energy costs to environmental concerns. The Smart Grid market is forecast to grow rapidly in 2009, reaching US$25bn of revenues, up 50% from 2008.

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HOW REAL IS THE VISION OF A “SMART GRID”?

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New Mobile Broadband "Killer Apps"

March - 2009

The new generation of handsets and more affordable mobile data plans have led to explosive growth in mobile social networking activity across all major geographies. At this point in time, mobile social networking is the single most important driver for mobile broadband usage among consumers and often the only use of mobile broadband at all. Revenues generated from the mobile community value chain are forecasted to grow to $28.9 billion in 2012 or beyond with more than 800m users being expected to use their mobile devices to access their social networks

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New Mobile Broadband "Killer Apps"

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A recessionary environment will drive new innovation in 2009

January - 2009

For a second year running, GP Bullhound is publishing its TMT Predictions for 2009, and we expect continued strong innovation and development in the TMT markets – despite the overhanging cloud of global recession and financial crisis. Several of our predictions do have a recessionary theme, as we expect consumers and businesses to aggressively scrutinise how they manage and prioritise investments and purchases in 2009. Due to some abrupt changes to spending patterns, we expect that many traditional business models will fail, whereas new will emerge.

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A recessionary environment will drive new innovation in 2009

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Proliferation of Internet Widget Applications

December - 2008

With the rise of social media properties and Web 2.0 applications, we have seen a dramatic increase in the creation, use and distribution of Internet widgets. An entire industry has arisen around Internet widget applications with numerous companies receiving significant amounts of venture capital financing. However, this market remains nascent with business models and monetization methodologies still developing and evolving. As the Internet widget industry begins to mature and real revenues are generated, we foresee a select group of players taking the lion’s share of the market. Those players with compelling and unique applications, significant reach and strong distribution have the potential to rival some of the biggest players on the Internet today.

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Proliferation of Internet Widget Applications

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Connected Home, the New Wave of Silicon Growth

November - 2008

Media content is continually moving from a physical product to the digital form. Consumers are moving away from buying CDs and instead download mp3 tracks, storing them on a PC or media centre. In addition, the scalability and reach of the Internet has created a distribution platform for new content categories, such as user generated video and IPTV.

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Connected Home, the New Wave of Silicon Growth

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Apple Ups the Tempo in the Mobile Industry

October - 2008

The iPhone has shifted consumers’ minds about using the mobile from simple messaging and voice calls to a device that can undertake sophisticated activities normally associated with a PC. According to a recent M:Metrics survey, iPhone users are 10x more likely to do web search, 6x-20x more likely to view video content and 100x more likely to access a social network.

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Apple Ups the Tempo in the Mobile Industry

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Online fashion 2.0 defies gravity as the fastest growing E-Commerce category

October - 2008

At a time when the fashion high street is suffering its biggest slowdown for decades, the resurgent fashion ecommerce sector is continuing to defy gravity. A recent Hitwise study suggests that in the last 12 months, fashion was the fastest growing area across all online retail segments. In July, online visits to Hitwise UK’s apparel and accessories category accounted for one in every 10 visits to online retail websites. The sector grew 34.2% year over year as of July 2008.

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Online fashion 2.0 defies gravity as the fastest growing E-Commerce category

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Mobile Broadband Accelerates Demand For Cellular Backhaul and Fibre

September - 2008

Operators will continue to invest in and deploy 4G technology to increase cellular capacity and enhance the mobile broadband experience with faster data rates. We believe that there is only room for two 4G technology standards and that LTE will dominate with UMB claiming second place. A lack of scale, limited infrastructure and limited proven deployments should confine WiMAX to serving niche markets. While the introduction of mobile broadband does not appear to be a significant stimulus for WiMAX there is a number of derivative technology areas that should experience accelerating adoption.

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Mobile Broadband Accelerates Demand For Cellular Backhaul and Fibre

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Alternative Mobile Service Providers

July - 2008

Mobile telephony usage continues to grow, and although voice prices are decreasing, subscribers continue to complain about high intra-network and roaming charges. A number of alternative mobile service providers have emerged, addressing this issue with a variety of low-cost calling and value added services. Two fundamentally different service delivery models have emerged; the Client-Based (mobile VoIP) model that leverages new IP based technologies, and the Client-Less model that seeks to leverage existing infrastructures through combinations of low-tech local number solutions and IP based delivery.

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Alternative Mobile Service Providers

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Continued Consolidation in the Online Advertising Sector

June - 2008

With the recent activity and press around the potential Microsoft acquisition of Yahoo, much attention has once again been drawn to the online advertising and marketing sector. This single transaction could be the second largest transaction in the technology sector in the last three years. While this deal is just one of many that have occurred in the online advertising sector over the past few years, it highlights the importance of this market and the willingness of buyers to act aggressively in order to secure their competitive positions.

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Continued Consolidation in the Online Advertising Sector

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How does the 'Credit Crunch' impact Technology Entrepreneurs and Investors?

April - 2008

People and businesses across Europe and the US are experiencing a harsher economic climate following the meltdown in the US sub-prime mortgage market and subsequent liquidity crisis in financial markets widely referred to as the Credit Crunch. Consumer and business confidence levels have been declining alongside stock and real estate markets, and some economists believe that the US is now in a recession. As GP Bullhound is involved in a large number of cross-border technology financings and M&A transactions, entrepreneurs and investors are asking our opinion on the status of investment and consolidation activities in these markets. This report aims to address some of these questions.

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How does the 'Credit Crunch' impact Technology Entrepreneurs and Investors?

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Live Internet TV

March - 2008

The recent deployment of live-enabled Peer2Peer (P2P)networks is making the broadcast of live Internet TV to large simultaneous audiences over the Internet a possibility for the first time: Internet 2.0 has given television viewers a popular alternative channel to watch video content. Large numbers of Internet TV users are now looking to the Internet as a way of viewing highly popular live TV genres such as sports, reality TV, news and concert events. The sheer volume of the demand created by large simultaneous audiences threatens to massively exceed the capacity of the Internet. The only solution currently available requires two arch rivals - content rights owners and P2P technology providers - to come together and bring 'live' to the Internet.

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Live Internet TV

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Micro-Projection - The next frontier in mobile computing?

February - 2008

The culmination of advances in processing, storage and wireless technologies has enabled home and office applications to extend to mobile devices. Micro-projectors are now emerging as the next frontier of infrastructure technologies supporting mobile Internet.

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Micro-Projection - The next frontier in mobile computing?

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GP Bullhound TMT Predictions for 2008

January - 2008

In the fast-moving world of technology it is important to identify growing trends. In our January 2008 report, we highlight nine trends we believe will have a meaningful impact on the industry this year.

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GP Bullhound TMT Predictions for 2008

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Me, My Social Network(s) and I

December - 2007

Continued growth in the adoption of Social Networks has been driven by the ease with which users can transform their address books into an interactive online experience that keeps users returning, inviting others to join and maintains high utilisation and retention rates. The second phase of Social Networking, pioneered by Facebook's F8 platform, produced a plethora of interactive Widgets that enable developers and users to add to the nature of the service that they and others use.

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Me, My Social Network(s) and I

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What is the future of virtual worlds?

November - 2007

With experts predicting that 80% of Internet users will become members of virtual worlds by 2011, this report examines trends in the space, including business models that virtual world providers deploy to generate revenue. Virtual worlds represent the convergence of a number of trends, including the unrivalled popularity of social networking, the evolution of gaming from solo to multi-player, and a growing consumer interest in a feature rich, 3D Web.

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What is the future of virtual worlds?

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Online video advertising: A showdown for future ad dollars

September - 2007

Video has always been seen as the "crown jewel" of media. As broadband expands and distribution channels grow, more and more people are beginning to digest this video online rather than on their television sets at home. Online Video Advertising (OVA) was an estimated $410 million revenue market in the U.S. in 2006. This report examines the current status of the online video advertising market and how the major media and technology stakeholders are being affected.

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Online video advertising: A showdown for future ad dollars

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Mobile Advertising: The battle for the"third screen" intensifies

July - 2007

There are over 2 billion mobile subscribers globally, increasingly browsing the Internet and viewing content over their cell phones. This figure compares with roughly 1.4 billion televisions and 1 billion PCs worldwide. Due to the sheer size and continued growth of the mobile market, we are now witnessing a major battle between the leaders in the Telecoms, Internet and Advertising industries for domination in advertising on "the third screen": the mobile phone.

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Mobile Advertising: The battle for the"third screen" intensifies

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Femtocells: Hype or Reality?

May - 2007

By developing femtocell infrastructures, mobile operators may be able to take some pressure off the challenge of integrating dual-mode handsets into their network infrastructure. However, this in itself has a number of technical and logistical commercial challenges. These need to be overcome before femtocell consumer premise equipment (CPE) penetrates people's homes while offering undisrupted service and support.

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Femtocells: Hype or Reality?

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The Online Lead Generation Market is Growing Fast...and Expanding to Europe and Asia/Pac

March - 2007

Online lead generation (OLG) constitutes a number of Internet based techniques and methods for generating sales leads and customers. Online Lead Generation generated US$592m of revenues in the US alone in the first half of 2006, growing at an astounding 71% annual rate (H1-06 over H1-05). We estimate OLG to be a US$1bn+ global market in 2007.

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The Online Lead Generation Market is Growing Fast...and Expanding to Europe and Asia/Pac

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Back to bASICs - A review of the semiconductor industry trends

March - 2007

We initiate research on the semiconductor sector by reviewing the latest market trends that are driving the future economics and shape of the industry. We believe that there are four fundamental drivers of change in the industry: (1) Growth rates are slowing down, (2) Manufacturing costs continue to rise, (3) Design costs continue to increase and (4) Capital intensity has increased.

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Back to bASICs - A review of the semiconductor industry trends

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Disruptive Shift in Short Range Wireless Technologies

January - 2007

This report looks at a selection of emerging short-range wireless technologies, including enhanced WLAN (802.11n) and Ultra Wide Band (UWB) (which has two major competing standards WiMedia and UWB Forum). Of the technologies, UWB and specifically the WiMedia standard is gaining the widest industry support.

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Disruptive Shift in Short Range Wireless Technologies

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Mobile Data Services
European operators get the message (finally)

December - 2006

We believe that whilst bandwidth has been a key barrier to wide scale adoption of data services over recent years, it has not been the only barrier; Asian markets such as Japan and Korea show much higher data service usage utilising similar network infrastructure. This cannot be explained by cultural factors alone. For example SK Telecom typically report that two thirds of their data revenues are from non SMS services.

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Mobile Data Services
European operators get the message (finally)

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Application traffic management - part evolution, part revolution

November - 2006

Application Traffic Management (ATM) solutions have become an important investment area for CIOs to complement traditional security and networking infrastructures. We expect increasing attention for the ATM opportunity as it approaches a billion dollar of revenues in the near to mid term. The market is expected to grow from US$645m of revenues in 2005 to US$1.3bn in 2009 (18.6% CAGR)

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Application traffic management - part evolution, part revolution

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Bright future for the casual games market

September - 2006

Casual games is expected to grow from $0.5bn to $2bn over the next four years and will represent 5% of the $42bn video game market in 2010.Publishers are keen to diversify their risk by launching cheaper casual titles to complement their flagship offerings. Development costs for casual games is typically at $50,000 to $250,000 (source: IDGA 2006) to be compared with US$10-20m for high end console titles.

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Bright future for the casual games market

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Communications infrastructure software: who will benefit from IMS adoption?

August - 2006

This study highlights infrastructure software companies that have established themselves as leading suppliers for the early rollouts of next generation telecoms networks based on the IP multimedia subsystem (IMS) reference architecture.

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Communications infrastructure software: who will benefit from IMS adoption?

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The bandwith crunch - how peer to peer could ease the video distribution problem

July - 2006

Video content over the Internet is becoming an increasingly popular pastime. For example, Apple has sold more than 35 million TV shows and videos through the iTunes Music Store. Eight months old video sharing site YouTube.com announced that 2.5 billion videos were viewed on their site in June alone, equating to 200 terabytes of data per day (more than eBay).

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The bandwith crunch - how peer to peer could ease the video distribution problem

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Key take-aways from E3 2006

May - 2006

The annual E3 conference in Los Angeles last week provided a number of interesting insights into the entertainment and interactive software markets.These include, increased diversity and complexity within the next generation console cycle and the social networking community approach to gaming.

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Key take-aways from E3 2006

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Searching the enterprise

May - 2006

A fast growing market for enterprise search solutions is emerging as enterprise CIOs look for solutions to manage the overwhelming amounts of data that is being generated in today's corporate environment. Enterprise search is increasingly seen as a cost efficient complement (or alternative) to relational database systems.

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Searching the enterprise

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The search for mobile data revenue III
A sector overview of Mobile TV

March - 2006

We believe mobile TV is an important new application for multiple industries and we expect to see significant consumer adoption over the coming years. In our view, DVB-H is a disruptive technology for cellular network equipment vendors as it may reduce the need for bandwidth upgrades. It is also frightening for mobile operators as bypassing the 3G network may reduce operators to merely billing providers for TV content.

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The search for mobile data revenue III
A sector overview of Mobile TV

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Closing short recommendation in Newport Networks

December - 2005

We are closing our short recommendation in Newport Networks, the UK based a provider of hardware based Session Border Controller (SBC) systems to the telecoms industry. Since our short recommendation on June 28th, Newport has traded down 71%. In comparison, the Nasdaq Composite has risen 9% in the same period.

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Closing short recommendation in Newport Networks

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The search for mobile data revenue II

A sector overview of Mobile Music

November - 2005

The introduction of the iPod player and iTunes software has not only reinvigorated the fortunes of Apple, but also the music industry as a whole. We believe that wireless music downloads will become one of the largest components of wireless data revenues. The U.S. wireless full-track music market is expected to grow from zero in 2004 to $1.2 billion1 in revenue and over 50 million full-track customers and subscribers by 2009.

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The search for mobile data revenue II

A sector overview of Mobile Music

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Enterprise Mobility Software

A status update from the Smartphone conference in London

October - 2005

Symbian arranged the two day Smartphone Show conference in London last week, hosting a number of mobile application and infrastructure vendors from the industry. This notes aims to provide an update on some of the trends that we see in this market. In summary, we conclude that the market overall remains in its infancy stages, including the fast growing email market.

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Enterprise Mobility Software

A status update from the Smartphone conference in London

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Networking the city

An overview of Metro Wi-Fi / WiMax

September - 2005

Today, availability of email, Internet, up-to-date business information and increasingly secure connection to corporate LANs from "anywhere at any time" has for many become a necessity. In the past twelve months, the excitement around unlicensed wireless data and voice coverage has grown dramatically. A number of key technology drivers are combining with consumer awareness and public sector support to enable a rapid growth in unlicensed metropolitan networks.

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Networking the city

An overview of Metro Wi-Fi / WiMax

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The IP television opportunity

A sector overview

August - 2005

The landscape for digital TV services is rapidly changing. While digital cable, digital terrestrial and satellite services continue to develop, there are clear signs that broadband networks will emerge as a significant fourth platform for digital, Internet Protocol based TV (IP-TV) services. 2005 has been a breakthrough year for IP-TV in terms of service deployments and announcements of future launches. However, some challenges remain before broadband operators will be established as credible new generation TV broadcasters.

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The IP television opportunity

A sector overview

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ABOUT US

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Research

Massively Multiplayer Online Gaming

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Social Travel - The Human Touch

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Technology Predictions 2012

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eBook - Let's go Clubbing

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Innovation in the Water Sector

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Mobile Games Revisited - Level 2 Unlocked!

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Tech Market Update 2011

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Mobile Payments - It's Payback Time!

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Russian Internet - No Longer Terra Incognita?

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Deal or No Deal?: The Rapidly Growing Social Commerce and Daily Deals Market

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Technology Predictions 2011

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No Holds Barred in the Digital Music Battleground

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Behavioral Retargeting

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Is Thin Film Staging a Comeback?

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The Era of The Touch Interface is Upon us

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The Social Media Explosion: Monetising the New Word of Mouth

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Massively Multiplayer Online Gaming

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Social Travel - The Human Touch

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Technology Predictions 2012

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eBook - Let's go Clubbing

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Innovation in the Water Sector

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Mobile Games Revisited - Level 2 Unlocked!

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Tech Market Update 2011

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Mobile Payments - It's Payback Time!

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Russian Internet - No Longer Terra Incognita?

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Deal or No Deal?: The Rapidly Growing Social Commerce and Daily Deals Market

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Technology Predictions 2011

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No Holds Barred in the Digital Music Battleground

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Behavioral Retargeting

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Is Thin Film Staging a Comeback?

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The Era of The Touch Interface is Upon us

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The Social Media Explosion: Monetising the New Word of Mouth

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Augmented Reality: A Glimpse Beyond Reality

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Supply Side Smart Grid Solutions Best Placed to Drive Economic Benefits Near to Mid-term

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Wisdom From the Sage of Omaha

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Electric Vehicles and Batteries – Charging Ahead

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Social Games: The Fastest Growing Segment of the Games Market

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Don't Judge an eBook by its Cover

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Gaming trends – December 2009

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Status of Project Financing to the Solar Industry

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European SaaS – an environment ripe for investment

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Mobile Sector Bucking the M&A Trend

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HOW REAL CAN WE MAKE GAMES AND VIRTUAL WORLDS?

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HOW REAL IS THE VISION OF A “SMART GRID”?

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New Mobile Broadband "Killer Apps"

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A recessionary environment will drive new innovation in 2009